On February 12, "Federal Reserve Messenger" Nick Timiraos: The strong inflation data in January makes the case for the Federal Reserve to further "readjust" the path of interest rate cuts before the middle of the year untenable.
On January 13, U.S. interest rate futures no longer fully priced in expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates even once this year, after Friday's strong monthly employment data underscored the resilience of the U.S. economy. Interest rate futures showed that traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by only 24.26 basis points by December this year, compared with about 43 basis points before the employment data was released. At present, traders are increasingly ...
Wall Street banks have begun to raise the possibility that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates this year! Will CPI add another fire? Gold bulls may need to "temporarily avoid sharpness" now, and US stocks may have entered a "lose-lose situation"...
Wall Street banks will have the opportunity to comment on a series of adjustments to the Federal Reserve's annual bank stress testing, the Federal Reserve said on Monday. The Fed said it will seek public comment on the model used to determine hypothetical losses and income for banks in stress situations. The reform proposals also include averaging the results of the two-year test to reduce the year-to-year changes in capital requirements caused by stress testing. "These proposed adjustments will...
Will the last blockbuster data before the Federal Reserve's annual closing meeting shake the expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again? Investment banks said that this inflation report may confirm that the process of US inflation falling has stalled, and can the dollar index set sail again as a result?
Traders expect the Fed to cut rates further this year by less than 50 basis points.
Traders expect the Fed to cut rates further this year by less than 50 basis points.
Traders in the US interest rate options market are still betting on the Federal Reserve making at least one mega-rate cut this year, although it may not happen before the November 5 presidential election. With next week's FOMC meeting on interest rates, at first glance the Fed swap contracts reflect expectations for a 25 basis point cut, and the probability of a larger cut is slim. But a closer look is a different story.
After the release of the non-farm payrolls data, traders raised their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year.
The swap market remains stable, with the Fed expected to cut rates by nearly 100 basis points before the end of the year.